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MarketsAnalysisPast Article

Cash Is a Position

Holding bills is a choice about the next few months. It is not a neutral waiting room.

By Marcus Ell, Markets Columnist

New York1 min read

aerial view of city during nighttime
aerial view of city during nighttimePhoto by Denys Nevozhai on Unsplash

Cash feels like not deciding. It is a decision to take the short rate and to refuse the longer risks. When the short rate is high, the decision looks clever. When it falls, the same decision looks late. The cleverness was the rate, not the personality of the holder.

A bill yield, on a day it is published, is the compensation for that choice over that maturity. It is not a judgment on the stock market. People who call cash 'dry powder' are already narrating a future purchase. The bill itself does not require the purchase.

The objection is to the costume. Hold cash if the published short rate is what you want and the maturity matches the bill you must pay. Do not hold it because a slogan said the market was about to break.

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